2015年中国能源流与碳流分析

    Analysis of Energy Flow and Carbon Flow of China in 2015

    • 摘要: 在全球经济下行的大背景下,中国的经济增速也逐渐放缓,2015年GDP增速为6.9%,是自1991年来的首次破7。在经济新常态的背景下,能源供需和碳排放也出现了一些变化。基于最新的2015年中国能源平衡表(标准量)等数据,利用桑基图绘制出2015年的中国能源流图和碳流图,研究了主要能源种类的生产、加工转换和消费情况以及能源相关的碳排放流动。结果表明:2015年的能源消费量较2014年增幅仅为0.5%,由于中国发展阶段的限制,2015年的能源消费总量中工业部门占到了68.0%,但较2014年有所下降。2015年的CO2排放量较2014年增长3.7%。煤炭在能源中的主体地位虽然依旧突出但产量在持续下降,油气平稳发展,一次电力和其他能源在一次能源生产量的占比持续上升。能源库存量自2010年来首次由增转减。煤炭燃烧产生的碳排放量占全年碳排放量的82.0%,火力发电和工业部门是主要的碳排放来源,二者的碳排放量占到了全年碳排放量的76.9%。

       

      Abstract: Under the background of the global economic downturn,China's economy also has declined in recent years. The GDP growth rate in China was 6.9% in 2015,lower than 7% for the first time since 1997. As a consequence,the characteristics of energy and carbon emissions from the perspectives of both supply and demand may show some new features under this new economic norm. In this paper, the energy and carbon flow chart of China in 2015 were drawn to display the flow of main types of energy in terms of energy production, energy processing, energy consumption as well as energy-related emissions based on the latest data such as China's energy balance(standard quantity)of 2015. The results show that energy consumption in 2015 was only 0.5% higher than in 2014. Due to the limitation of the development stage in China, the industrial sector accounted for 68.0% of the total energy consumption in 2015,showing a slight decrease compared with that in 2014. The carbon emissions increased by 3.7% in 2015 compared with that in 2014. Although the coal still dominates the energy structure in China,its output has continued to decline. In addition,the production of oil and gas developed stably,and the proportion of renewable electricity and other energies in primary energy production continues to rise. Energy inventory has started to decline for the first time since 2010. As for carbon emissions, the emissions from coal accounted for 82.0% of the annual carbon emissions. Thermal power and the industrial sector are the main sources of carbon emissions,with their carbon emissions accounting for 76.9% of the annual carbon emissions.

       

    /

    返回文章
    返回
    Baidu
    map